Archive - Future Salience

Developing a futures landscape for Aotearoa

An crucial step for developing better futures scenarios here may be in first having a more insightful view of the landscape of drivers of change.

Jul 13 •

June 2025

Limits on artificial thinking

Generative AI may seem creative, but like us it's poor at reasoning when things get too complex

Jun 13 •

Bringing future thinking back into democracy

Long-term thinking may be essential to help revive democracy

Jun 5 •

April 2025

Previous New Zealand-specific scenarios

Aotearoa has a modest collection of futures scenarios. This has picked up in the last 5 years, but scenarios for New Zealand need to be more ambitious…

Apr 14 •

March 2025

Flaws in grand and minor technological narratives

There are plenty of narratives about technological futures, but most seem flimsy. Effective ones need to be well-grounded in realities, not just be…

Mar 27 •

Linear vs less linear futures narratives

Many trends reports are useless. The good ones distill without losing inherent dynamics

Mar 16 •

February 2025

Is there any point to being a “futurist” today?

The US's geopolitical meltdowns seem to have caught many by surprise; either in their scale and/or the speed. Where's good foresight when you need it…

Feb 24 •

The human side of AI

Hype and fear of missing out are driving rapid AI developments, but we should be thinking more about our own behaviours and thought processes to really…

Feb 19 •

January 2025

Seeing less to see more

Futures projects can learn from artists about how to abstract from complexity to better understand the present.

Jan 8 •

December 2024

My futures' watchlist for 2025

Don't just itemise what's changing, and what isn't. Look for how trends and developments affect how we define ourselves and our world.

Dec 22, 2024 •

The rising tide of climate litigation

Climate activists, young and old, are increasingly using the courts as well as the streets to try and reduce greenhouse gas emissions

Dec 5, 2024 •

November 2024

Peering beyond election punditry

There's lots of commentary on election outcomes, but not so much on looking beyond winners and losers

Nov 14, 2024 •

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